It’s been six years since the Covid-19 pandemic began disrupting education, and a varying number of years since schools returned to “normal,” but data charting the numerous negative impacts on students keep coming. Two recently-published reports separately focus on attendance and math achievement.
First up is Jeremy Singer, a researcher from the University of Michigan-Flint, looking at post-pandemic student attendance trends as a function of how much remote learning a student experienced during Covid disruptions. Absenteeism increased during the two most-impacted Covid years, and overall, remains higher today than in pre-Covid years.
Singer uses data from Michigan covering every public school in the state during the 2020–21 school year. Schools were required to report their current learning modality (fully in-person, fully online, or a mix/option of the two) to the state every month. Singer created a measure of remote learning duration to which more than 992,000 students were exposed in 2020–21 and tracked their attendance from the 2017–18 through the 2023–24 school years—a total of more than 5,100,000 observations. He then tested the differential impact of remote learning exposure via both difference-in-differences and instrumental variable analyses. Neither set of findings is causal because exposure to remote learning was not random (and was often an affirmative parental choice), but they correlate strongly with each other.
The topline finding is that the longer students experienced remote learning in their schools, the worse their post-pandemic attendance was when compared to pre-pandemic patterns. Yet the impacts were not linear. Compared to students who were never provided with remote-only learning in 2020–21, students provided with remote-only learning for one, two, or three months had no statistically-significant decline in attendance post-pandemic; those with remote-only learning for four, five, or six months subsequently missed a few additional days of school; and those with remote-only learning for seven, eight, or nine months missed substantially more. Consistent with other data, negative impacts were strongest for Michigan students in 2021–22 and 2022–23, although they were still seen at a statically-significant level well into the 2023–24 school year among those with the most exposure to remote-only learning.
Given these findings—and the fact that more than 80 percent of Michigan students were in the low-exposure category—current absenteeism woes in the state can’t be neatly pinned on Covid-era remote learning. And generalizability beyond the Michigan context is also unclear. In fact, Singer suggests that his findings might say as much about the quality of the “cure” (absenteeism-mitigation strategies implemented in the wake of shocking early data) as they do about the strength of the “disease” of remote learning itself.
And what of academic outcomes impacted by Covid-era instructional modality changes? A pair of researchers from the University of Western Ontario examine the ways in which math course-taking among high schoolers in Massachusetts changed in 2020–21, including the extent of exposure to remote learning.
Their dataset comprises more than 327,500 unique students who were in grades 9 or 10 in the 2016–17 through 2019–20 school years, and who transitioned into grades 10 or 11 in 2017–18 through 2020–21—a total of more than half a million student-year records. The choice of grades is deliberate to (a) avoid the first year of high school, often a tricky transition generally; and (b) maximize the evidence of students’ progression (or not) through a typical high school course sequence from basic math to Algebra I and II to geometry to pre-calculus and beyond. Data from the Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education comprised a detailed transcript for each student, including math classes attended, completion (or not), and academic performance therein. Instructional modality changes during the 2020–21 school year were tracked similarly to the Singer study above, using the Bay State’s contemporaneous school survey data.
The researchers find that overall rates of advancement for students (that is, taking a higher-level math course in one year compared to the prior one) decreased during the 2020–21 school year, with stronger negative impacts seen among students who spent a greater share of the year in remote-only instruction mode.
Students in grade 10 in 2019–20 slightly decreased the rate at which they advanced in math and markedly increased the rate of repeating their grade 9 math class, as compared to pre-pandemic trends. In 2020–21, these patterns were even stronger. Just 65 percent of students who spent all or nearly all of the school year in remote instruction took a higher-level math course in grade 10 than in grade 9. Those high-exposure grade 10 students were much more likely than their in-person peers to take a course below their grade level (meaning Algebra I or lower), to receive lower marks in whatever math course they took, and to fail or withdraw from a math course. Students in grade 11 showed a similar pattern of impacts. Economically disadvantaged, Black, and Hispanic students fared worse across the board than their White and Asian peers. The researchers ran additional multilevel logistic regression models to attempt to account for some student- and school-level factors. While, the randomness of exposure to remote learning does not allow their efforts to produce causal findings, all analyses showed similar patterns.
The math report concludes by pointing out that halted progress during a course sequence—for any reason—tends to stop students from building upon math knowledge, rendering future progress unlikely or at least very difficult. That’s a particularly chilling prospect given that the Massachusetts students in question long ago left high school, many with the assistance of lowered graduation requirements implemented during Covid, making whatever damage has been done to their math learning solely their problem to deal with.
The attendance report does not discuss differential impacts based on grade level, but the same holds true regardless: Whatever damage was done by students’ exposure to remote learning in 2020–21 (and indeed whatever benefit of mitigation they may have experienced afterward), all of it was cemented in when they graduated. For Covid-impacted students who have not yet graduated, their schools owe it to them to learn from the continuing stream of data documenting harm and to triple down to alleviate it in whatever time remains—focusing solidly on those kids who experienced the most remote-only learning.
SOURCES: Jeremy Singer, “Remote Learning in 2020-21 and Student Attendance Since the COVID-19 Pandemic,” EdWorkingPaper, Annenberg Institute at Brown University (January 2026); and Patrick Denice and Shahar Dangur-Levy, “Math coursetaking trajectories in high school during the COVID-19 disruptions to schooling,” EdWorkingPaper, Annenberg Institute at Brown University (March 2026).